India's Growth Drivers - Demographic Dividend and Digitalization

In 2023, India surpassed China to become the world's most populous country with approximately 1.43 billion people. With a median age of about 28, India is in a 'demographic dividend' phase where the working-age population will continue to grow through the 2040s. This abundant young labor force is the foundation supporting consumer market expansion and sustained economic growth. According to IMF forecasts, India's real GDP growth rate is projected at 6-7% annually from 2024 to 2028, and by 2027 India is expected to overtake Japan and Germany to become the world's third-largest economy.

India's progress in digitalization is also remarkable. Instant payments through the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) exceed 10 billion transactions per month, making it the world's largest real-time payment system. Digital infrastructure linked to Aadhaar (the national ID system) has accelerated financial inclusion, creating an environment where even rural consumers can access financial services. The IT services industry accounts for approximately 8% of GDP, with global companies such as Infosys, TCS, and Wipro providing services worldwide.

Structure of the Indian Stock Market - BSE, NSE, and Key Indices

India has two major stock exchanges. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) is the oldest exchange in Asia, and its representative index is the Sensex (30 BSE stocks). The National Stock Exchange (NSE) is India's largest by trading volume, with the Nifty 50 (50 NSE stocks) as its flagship index. The Nifty 50 has delivered annualized returns of approximately 12% (in rupee terms) over the past 20 years, ranking among the top-performing major indices globally.Books on the Indian stock market provide detailed coverage of market structure and investment methods.

How to Invest in Indian Stocks from Japan, and the Risks

The primary ways for Japanese investors to invest in Indian stocks are through Indian equity index funds and ETFs. Representative products include iFreeNEXT India Stock Index and NEXT FUNDS India Stock Index ETF (1678). In 2024, multiple asset management companies launched new India equity funds, significantly expanding the range of options. However, expense ratios for India equity funds tend to be higher than those for developed market funds, typically in the 0.4-0.8% range.

Risks of investing in India include rupee exchange rate fluctuations, political risks (religious tensions, geopolitical strains), high inflation rates, and regulatory uncertainty.Books on India investment strategy are also useful for risk assessment.

Next Steps for Starting Indian Stock Investing

To begin investing in Indian stocks, it is important to first understand the basic structure of the Indian economy. Regularly follow the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) monetary policy, the progress of the Modi administration's economic reforms (Make in India, Digital India), and trends in key sectors (IT, financials, consumer goods). For information in Japanese, JETRO (Japan External Trade Organization) reports on India and brokerage research reports on the Indian market are valuable resources.

For specific investment products, low-cost funds tracking the Nifty 50 - such as iFreeNEXT India Stock Index or SBI iShares India Stock Index Fund - are the top candidates. A rational approach is to start with small monthly systematic investments through your NISA tsumitate allowance and gradually acclimate to the volatility characteristic of the Indian market. We recommend capping Indian stocks at 5-10% of your total portfolio and achieving geographic diversification through combination with developed market equities.